Cuba has been a royal pain in the ass since Fidel Castro took over in 1959. The Bay of Pigs, John Kennedy's ill-planned, amateurish invasion of the island made the US a laughing stock, hardened the Communist regime's resolve, and made Cuba the center of American regional geopolitics from then on.
The Cuban missile crisis in October 1962 when Kennedy demanded that the Soviet Union remove the missiles it had deployed in Cuba and aimed at the United States nearly precipitated a nuclear war, and from that time on until the fall of the Soviet Union Cuba was the focus of American and Russian attention.
Cuba's economy relied on Russian support - food, oil, hardware, technical support - and it was more than ever an important player in the American-Soviet rivalry.
After 1991 when Russian support dwindled to nothing and the Castro regime was forced to rely on its own resources, the country fell into even greater economic crisis. The American embargo to force the Communist regime to capitulate did little to shake the foundations of the regime and only added to Cubans' misery.
The Mariel Boat Lift was Castro's answer to America's plea for freedom of movement and expression, and he emptied his prisons and sent hundreds of hardened criminals the US's way. Miami which had thrived with refugees which came to Florida immediately after the Cuban Revolution and the rise of Castro, was inundated with these undesirables; but the US had always had the policy of 'If they're Cuban, we'll take them'.
Since then Cuba has limped along, somehow surviving. The United States under Barack Obama loosened the embargo rules and permitted some Americans to travel to the island, hoping that some kind of accommodation might be achieved; but no dice. The regime after Fidel's death was no less hard and fast in its authoritarianism and no less hostile to the United States.
The Soviets and the Russians are long gone. The only hardline Communist country is North Korea and its support of Cuba is desultory at best, so Cuba is no real threat to the United States. Leave it alone and let it collapse under its own weight might be the best option; but America cannot do that just as the North could not leave the South alone in America's civil war period. The South's slavery, challenge to free labor, and its open hostility simply could not stand, and when the South attacked Fort Sumter, it was the casus belli the North had always wanted.
Many economists have concluded that the Southern agrarian, slave-based economy would have collapsed on its own. It had no industry to speak of, no shipbuilding or shipping, and relied on British transport for its cotton. The North was rapidly industrializing, growing powerful and influential, and the South could not possibly have lasted much longer.
Yet the North was anxious to pull the trigger. A combination of abolitionists, free labor advocates, and Northern nationalists combined to insist on full-scale war. The South shall never rise again after we are through with it, they said.
And so it is with Cuba. The Communist regime simply cannot last much longer, so why not just let it fester and come to its own logical conclusion? Because it's there, that's why. Time to get rid of it once and for all, pay it back for all its insolence, obduracy, and drumbeat of Hate America!
Trump is on a roll. Venezuela was a piece of cake, a few special forces with air cover and the dictator, Maduro, was history; the oil fields were ours, and another pissy, uncontrite socialist regime over and done with. Hamas and Iran have proved harder nuts to crack, but the American President has shown chutzpah and cojones in a defiantly militant posture.
It has been almost fifty years since the ayatollahs have changed the country into an oppressed gulag, have sown terror throughout the Middle East, have built a nuclear arsenal and declared that it would eventually annihilate Israel and kill all Jews, and again it was about time to get rid of it.
This is not to say that Donald Trump is the Wild West gunslinging cowboy he is made out to be. He is just playing the Machiavellian geopolitical game that America's arch-rivals Russia and China have been playing for years. China wants complete Han control of the Uighur regions of its west, the re-integration of Tibet into China, and the final assimilation of Taiwan.
There is nothing new in that either from a geopolitical or natural perspective. China has never been bothered by American-style moral exceptionalism, has always been an imperialist society, and has never once given American concerns about freedom, liberty, and cultural identity a second thought; and human nature is never satisfied with what it has.
President Putin of Russia has made no bones about his respect for his country's imperial past. Czarist Russia was a social, cultural, political, and military leader; and it is time to restore those very ambitions and values to the new Russia.
President Erdogan of Turkey has similar sentiments about the Ottoman Empire, a time of Turkish world domination under Islamic rule. It is time for modern Turkey to return to those same hegemonic, imperial roots.
Trump is simply joining Putin, Xi, and Erdogan in their geopolitical outlook. Spheres of influence, whether Ukraine, Taiwan, Venezuela, or Cuba - and by extension the Middle East. Trump's first strike posture is completely within this new geopolitical zeitgeist. He is simply abandoning one-world idealism and returning to hardline nationalism. The world is not a happy picnic ground.
The US under Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon claimed Southeast Asia as America's; and they initiated a war with Ho Chi Minh, a nationalist patriot, because of his Communist intentions. The Domino Theory was prevalent - if Vietnam falls, then so will Laos, Cambodia, Thailand, and God knows what else. It was time to nip that probability in the bud, and so the US began an unwinnable war.
It was only after such a humiliating defeat that America pulled in its horns, rethought foreign policy and geopolitics. McNamara, LBJ's Defense Secretary went to Vietnam many years after the Vietnamese victory and begged forgiveness. We shouldn't have done what we did, he said to deaf ears and then went on to become President of the World Bank and changed its ethos and policy structure to favor 'poverty reduction', a kind of international mea culpa for Vietnam.
However, the seeds of regional dominance were still in America's garden basket, and Ronald Reagan undertook a small-scale support of rightist forces in Nicaragua and El Salvador - our sphere of interest - and subsequent American Presidents had their moments - taking out Qaddafi in Libya and Noriega in Panama, but nothing major until Afghanistan and Iraq.
'Mission Accomplished' said George W Bush after the fall of Saddam Hussein, but of course nothing was accomplished. Both resurgent Islamic militias in Iraq and the Taliban in Afghanistan eventually regained power.
The only difference now is that Donald Trump is no longer using exceptionalist cover for his actions. There is no need to justify taking over a country because of democracy. It is enough to say that we simply want it, that it is in our national interest. It is bald aggressiveness, aligned quite nicely with Russia and China. In fact it is a triumvirate of equal-minded adversaries. That is what is new.
The American Left of course cries foul. Trump is an imperialist dictator who has abandoned any sense of justice, compassion, understanding, and peace. He is a blundering, arrogant, authoritarian pig who has no moral inhibitions.
Yet how short the memory of these critics. America has always been like this. Thomas Jefferson the architect of Manifest Destiny, the philosophy which stated that America was destined to be one country from sea to sea, was unapologetic about American expansionism, the clearing of brush, titling land, and moving the Indians as far west of the Mississippi River as possible.
So, no tears. The Cuban regime has threatened to send explosive-carrying drones to Florida and bomb key targets. This would be the casus belli Donald Trump hopes for. Just one pathetic little Latino drone coming our way would be enough for a massive invasion of the island, and getting rid of the hated Castros once and for all.
It might not happen, but then again it very well might. Trump is on a roll, so why not?





